Ingolstadt 04 vs Nürnberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2006 |
FEU
1 - 2
ING
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
KEM
2 - 1
ING
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
ING
2 - 1
MEM
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
UNT
0 - 6
ING
33%
26%
42%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
ISM
0 - 0
ING
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
NUR
4 - 2
FUR
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
BAD
3 - 1
NUR
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
JRE
1 - 3
NUR
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
FRO
1 - 2
NUR
29%
25%
45%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
NUR
0 - 0
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |