Igea Virtus vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
55.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LOC
1 - 0
FCI
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FCI
0 - 0
ROT
40%
25%
36%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ACI
4 - 1
FCI
61%
22%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FCI
0 - 0
ROC
35%
26%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
TUR
3 - 0
FCI
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ACI
0 - 2
USC
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
USC
3 - 0
LOC
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
USC
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
USC
1 - 1
TUR
26%
23%
52%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 1
USC
81%
14%
5%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | -1 |