UEFA Intertoto Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
FC Honka vs FC TVMK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
43.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2007 |
HON
0 - 0
FCL
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2007 |
TPS
1 - 3
HON
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
HON
0 - 0
HJK
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
FFJ
1 - 2
HON
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
HON
2 - 0
IFK
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC TVMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2007 |
TVM
1 - 1
LEV
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
TAM
1 - 3
TVM
18%
23%
59%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
TVM
9 - 0
PAR
89%
8%
3%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
AJA
0 - 6
TVM
9%
18%
74%
|
77 | 39 | 38 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
TVM
6 - 0
FLO
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |