Oberliga Hessen. Jor. 19

FC Hanau 93 vs Fernwald analysis

FC Hanau 93 Fernwald
28 ELO 27
-1.7% Tilt -6.6%
8993º General ELO ranking 7463º
418º Country ELO ranking 300º
ELO win probability
60.8%
FC Hanau 93
19.1%
Draw
20.1%
Fernwald

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
FC Hanau 93
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
20.1%
Win probability
Fernwald
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Hanau 93
-23%
-15%
Fernwald

Points and table prediction

FC Hanau 93
Their league position
Fernwald
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
69
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eintracht Frankfurt II
89
89
100%
FC Giessen
82
82
100%
Türkgücü Friedberg
70
70
100%
Fernwald
69
69
100%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
65
65
100%
KSV Baunatal
62
62
100%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf
60
60
100%
FC Hanau 93
55
58
100%
SV Steinbach 1920
52
52
100%
FC Erlensee
10º
49
49
10º
70%
Eddersheim
11º
47
47
11º
52%
Bayern Alzenau
12º
47
47
12º
52%
Waldgirmes
13º
46
46
13º
52%
Adler Weidenhausen
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Viktoria Griesheim
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Dietkirchen
16º
41
41
16º
100%
Unter-Flockenbach
17º
40
40
17º
100%
Neuhof
19º
37
37
18º
0%
Rot-Weiß Hadamar
18º
37
37
19º
0%
TSV Steinbach Haiger II
20º
25
25
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
FC Hanau 93
Fernwald
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

FC Hanau 93
Fernwald
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Hanau 93
FC Hanau 93
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2022
WAL
Waldgirmes
1 - 5
FC Hanau 93
FCH
34%
22%
44%
28 22 6 0
29 Oct. 2022
FCH
FC Hanau 93
1 - 1
FC Erlensee
FCE
82%
12%
7%
28 17 11 0
22 Oct. 2022
EIN
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
0 - 2
FC Hanau 93
FCH
60%
19%
21%
26 28 2 +2
15 Oct. 2022
FCH
FC Hanau 93
2 - 2
Unter-Flockenbach
SUF
83%
11%
6%
27 16 11 -1
09 Oct. 2022
RWW
Rot-Weiß Walldorf
0 - 2
FC Hanau 93
FCH
51%
21%
28%
25 26 1 +2

Matches

Fernwald
Fernwald
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2022
FER
Fernwald
2 - 2
KSV Baunatal
BAU
45%
21%
34%
25 27 2 0
30 Oct. 2022
EDD
Eddersheim
2 - 0
Fernwald
FER
34%
22%
43%
26 24 2 -1
22 Oct. 2022
FER
Fernwald
0 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt II
FRA
25%
20%
55%
26 37 11 0
15 Oct. 2022
BAY
Bayern Alzenau
1 - 1
Fernwald
FER
43%
21%
36%
27 25 2 -1
08 Oct. 2022
FER
Fernwald
6 - 2
Adler Weidenhausen
SVA
86%
9%
5%
26 15 11 +1
X