FC Gueugnon vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
56%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
IST
0 - 1
FCG
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
FCG
0 - 0
REI
36%
31%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
FCG
0 - 1
STR
24%
28%
47%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 2
FCG
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
FCG
1 - 0
AJA
30%
30%
40%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
CAE
1 - 0
LUS
64%
23%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 1
CAE
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
CAE
4 - 0
AJA
56%
26%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
STR
3 - 2
CAE
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2006 |
CAE
0 - 0
MPL
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |