Groningen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FEY
4 - 0
GRO
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 0
WIL
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 4
GRO
9%
17%
74%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
UTR
1 - 0
GRO
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BVO
3 - 0
GRO
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PSV
3 - 0
EXC
75%
16%
8%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 1
BVO
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 2
EXC
24%
23%
53%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 1
FCD
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 1
EXC
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |