Groningen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
VIT
3 - 2
GRO
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
RKC
0 - 2
GRO
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
GRO
0 - 1
SPA
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
HER
0 - 1
GRO
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
AZA
2 - 0
GRO
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 0
HFC
79%
15%
6%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 0
UTR
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
NEC
2 - 2
AJA
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 0
RJC
70%
18%
11%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
VIT
4 - 2
AJA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |