Golden State Force vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden State Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2016 |
GSF
1 - 2
VEN
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
GSF
3 - 1
SEA
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
GSF
1 - 1
BYU
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
TUC
1 - 1
SEA
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
TUC
0 - 5
ARI
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
VEN
0 - 2
TUC
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
TUC
3 - 0
NIC
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SDZ
0 - 1
TUC
23%
23%
54%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |