Erzgebirge Aue vs Wuppertaler SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2008 |
ERZ
2 - 1
OFC
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
FCU
2 - 0
ERZ
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
STU
3 - 0
ERZ
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ERZ
1 - 1
BAY
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
BSV
1 - 1
ERZ
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Wuppertaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
WUP
0 - 0
SSV
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
SVS
1 - 1
WUP
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
WUP
2 - 4
UNT
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
F95
3 - 1
WUP
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
WUP
3 - 3
SVS
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |