Erzgebirge Aue vs VfL Halle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
ERZ
2 - 1
HER
61%
21%
17%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
ERF
2 - 1
ERZ
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
ERZ
3 - 1
ZWI
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
MAG
1 - 2
ERZ
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
ERZ
2 - 0
TEN
71%
18%
12%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Halle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
LAS
1 - 0
VFL
50%
24%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
VFL
3 - 1
PLA
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
SAC
1 - 0
VFL
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
VFL
1 - 3
SGD
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
BAB
9 - 1
VFL
59%
23%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |