Erzgebirge Aue vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
45.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
EBT
1 - 1
ERZ
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
ERZ
0 - 0
SGF
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SVS
2 - 0
ERZ
52%
27%
22%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ERZ
2 - 1
HEI
28%
28%
44%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
WAA
0 - 0
ERZ
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SGD
1 - 2
HAN
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
STP
2 - 0
SGD
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SGD
0 - 0
FCU
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FCN
1 - 2
SGD
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
FCL
1 - 1
SGD
55%
23%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |