Erzgebirge Aue vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
48.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
BOC
0 - 3
ERZ
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ERZ
0 - 1
MUN
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SSV
1 - 1
ERZ
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ERZ
1 - 0
SGD
41%
28%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
FCU
3 - 0
ERZ
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
KAI
3 - 0
KOL
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
SVS
1 - 1
KAI
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
KAI
3 - 0
ING
62%
23%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
EBT
1 - 1
KAI
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
KAI
0 - 0
BOC
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |