Erzgebirge Aue vs Hannover 96 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
61.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FCN
2 - 1
ERZ
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ERZ
3 - 0
MUN
40%
30%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
FCU
0 - 1
ERZ
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
ERZ
1 - 0
STP
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
ERZ
0 - 0
DIN
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Hannover 96
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
HAN
1 - 0
EBT
61%
22%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
WUR
0 - 0
HAN
17%
23%
60%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
HAN
1 - 0
FCN
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
HAN
2 - 0
FCU
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
HAN
3 - 1
S04
23%
23%
54%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -2 |