Erzgebirge Aue vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
ERZ
1 - 0
SSV
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
HAN
3 - 2
ERZ
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
RTV
2 - 0
ERZ
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
ERZ
3 - 1
STP
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2019 |
KSC
1 - 1
ERZ
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
KSC
1 - 5
SGF
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SGF
3 - 1
RTV
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
HEI
1 - 0
SGF
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
SGF
0 - 0
FCN
29%
25%
47%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SVS
3 - 2
SGF
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |