Erzgebirge Aue vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MSV
3 - 1
ERZ
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
ERZ
3 - 1
FSV
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
ERZ
0 - 1
OSN
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2011 |
RTV
2 - 0
ERZ
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 0
PAD
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
MUN
1 - 1
F95
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
MUN
1 - 1
MSV
35%
28%
38%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
OSN
0 - 1
MUN
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
MUN
1 - 3
RTV
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
MUN
0 - 1
PAD
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |