Esiliiga Round 21

FC Elva vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis

FC Elva Vaprus Pärnu
54 ELO 50
6.6% Tilt 4.5%
2513º General ELO ranking 2227º
15º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
48.6%
FC Elva
23.6%
Draw
27.9%
Vaprus Pärnu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
FC Elva
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.8%
Win probability
Vaprus Pärnu
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Elva
+30%
+22%
Vaprus Pärnu

ELO progression

FC Elva
Vaprus Pärnu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Elva
FC Elva
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jul. 2019
FCE
FC Elva
3 - 0
EMÜ
EMU
83%
11%
6%
53 15 38 0
20 Jul. 2019
FCE
FC Elva
3 - 1
Tartu Welco
WEL
84%
12%
4%
53 35 18 0
06 Jul. 2019
JKJ
Alliance FC
0 - 1
FC Elva
FCE
50%
25%
25%
52 55 3 +1
01 Jul. 2019
FCE
FC Elva
1 - 3
FC Flora Tallin II
FLO
24%
25%
50%
53 63 10 -1
27 Jun. 2019
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
2 - 1
FC Elva
FCE
45%
24%
32%
53 49 4 0

Matches

Vaprus Pärnu
Vaprus Pärnu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jul. 2019
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
5 - 2
Alliance FC
JKJ
44%
24%
32%
49 55 6 0
04 Jul. 2019
WEL
Tartu Welco
1 - 2
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
16%
19%
65%
49 36 13 0
01 Jul. 2019
TAM
Tammeka II
1 - 0
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
50%
23%
27%
50 52 2 -1
27 Jun. 2019
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
2 - 1
FC Elva
FCE
45%
24%
32%
49 53 4 +1
20 Jun. 2019
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
0 - 0
FC Flora Tallin II
FLO
26%
24%
50%
48 64 16 +1