FC Eindhoven vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 4
EIN
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
EIN
2 - 2
FCE
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
EIN
3 - 2
BOS
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
WIL
3 - 2
EIN
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
EHC
1 - 4
EIN
14%
19%
67%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
BOS
3 - 2
EXC
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 1
ALM
54%
23%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 1
JON
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 1
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 3
EXC
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |