Russian Premier League Round 3

Dynamo Makhachkala vs Akhmat Grozny analysis

Dynamo Makhachkala Akhmat Grozny
67 ELO 69
-17.2% Tilt -20.9%
2078º General ELO ranking 1474º
20º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
34.2%
Dynamo Makhachkala
28.7%
Draw
37.1%
Akhmat Grozny

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
Dynamo Makhachkala
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
37.1%
Win probability
Akhmat Grozny
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dynamo Makhachkala
+11%
-9%
Akhmat Grozny

Points and table prediction

Dynamo Makhachkala
Their league position
Akhmat Grozny
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
10º
14º
14º
6
10º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lokomotiv Moskva
13
61
41%
FK Krasnodar
9
59
23%
Zenit
6
57
18%
CSKA Moskva
8
56
18%
Dinamo Moskva
11º
5
53
23%
Spartak Moskva
10º
5
52
23%
Rubin Kazán
7
43
18.5%
FK Rostov
13º
3
39
11.5%
Krylia Sovetov
8
38
10%
Akron Tolyatti
6
37
10º
14.5%
Baltika
9
36
11º
8.5%
Akhmat Grozny
6
33
12º
16%
FC Orenburg
14º
2
26
13º
20.5%
Dynamo Makhachkala
12º
5
26
14º
21.5%
Sochi
15º
1
25
15º
24.5%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
16º
0
18
16º
52%
Expected probabilities
Dynamo Makhachkala
Akhmat Grozny
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
33% 64%
Relegation play-offs
33.5% 24.5%
Relegation
33.5% 11.5%

ELO progression

Dynamo Makhachkala
Akhmat Grozny
FC Orenburg
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
FK Rostov
Zenit
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dynamo Makhachkala
Dynamo Makhachkala
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2025
DMK
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 - 0
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
OLY
49%
25%
26%
66 61 5 0
27 Jul. 2025
GAZ
FC Orenburg
1 - 1
Dynamo Makhachkala
DMK
53%
25%
22%
66 67 1 0
19 Jul. 2025
SPA
Spartak Moskva
1 - 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
DMK
82%
13%
5%
66 83 17 0
09 Jul. 2025
FCR
FK Rostov
2 - 1
Dynamo Makhachkala
DMK
69%
19%
12%
66 77 11 0
03 Jul. 2025
ZEN
Zenit
2 - 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
DMK
82%
13%
6%
67 86 19 -1

Matches

Akhmat Grozny
Akhmat Grozny
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2025
TER
Akhmat Grozny
1 - 2
Zenit
ZEN
20%
24%
56%
70 85 15 0
27 Jul. 2025
CSK
CSKA Moskva
2 - 1
Akhmat Grozny
TER
70%
19%
10%
70 84 14 0
20 Jul. 2025
TER
Akhmat Grozny
0 - 2
Rubin Kazán
FCR
40%
27%
33%
71 74 3 -1
12 Jul. 2025
TER
Akhmat Grozny
1 - 0
Krylia Sovetov
KRS
44%
24%
33%
71 70 1 0
08 Jul. 2025
DIN
Dinamo Moskva
1 - 1
Akhmat Grozny
TER
72%
17%
11%
71 82 11 0