Dynamo Makhachkala vs Akron Tolyatti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
39.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
12º
15º
15º
4
3º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
3 | 63 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 58 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 57 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 57 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 56 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 54 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 43 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 42 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 36 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 35 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
2º
|
4 | 34 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 31 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 31 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 27 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 24 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 21 |
16º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
25.5% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
27% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
47.5% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Makhachkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
SPA
1 - 0
DMK
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
FCR
2 - 1
DMK
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
ZEN
2 - 0
DMK
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
KRA
4 - 1
DMK
72%
19%
10%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
DMK
0 - 0
UFA
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Akron Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SOC
0 - 4
AKT
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
AKT
1 - 1
KRS
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
AKT
0 - 2
ARS
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
AKT
0 - 0
SPA
85%
11%
5%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
AKT
1 - 4
LOK
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |