Russian Premier League Round 4

Dynamo Makhachkala vs Akron Tolyatti analysis

Dynamo Makhachkala Akron Tolyatti
67 ELO 70
-16.6% Tilt -21.7%
2014º General ELO ranking 1700º
18º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
32.5%
Dynamo Makhachkala
28.1%
Draw
39.5%
Akron Tolyatti

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
Dynamo Makhachkala
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
39.4%
Win probability
Akron Tolyatti
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dynamo Makhachkala
+5%
+2%
Akron Tolyatti

Points and table prediction

Dynamo Makhachkala
Their league position
Akron Tolyatti
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
12º
15º
14º
4
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Zenit
4
61
26.5%
Dinamo Moskva
4
58
20%
Lokomotiv Moskva
6
57
17%
FK Krasnodar
3
57
11.5%
CSKA Moskva
4
55
24.5%
Spartak Moskva
10º
3
54
15%
FK Rostov
13º
0
43
17%
Rubin Kazán
4
41
18%
Baltika
4
38
17.5%
Akron Tolyatti
4
37
10º
15.5%
Krylia Sovetov
4
35
11º
15%
FC Orenburg
11º
2
30
12º
16%
Akhmat Grozny
14º
0
30
13º
16.5%
Dynamo Makhachkala
12º
1
25
14º
13.5%
Sochi
16º
0
25
15º
19%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
15º
0
21
16º
48.5%
Expected probabilities
Dynamo Makhachkala
Akron Tolyatti
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
26.5% 83.5%
Relegation play-offs
27% 12.5%
Relegation
46.5% 4%

ELO progression

Dynamo Makhachkala
Akron Tolyatti
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
FC Orenburg
Spartak Moskva
Akhmat Grozny
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dynamo Makhachkala
Dynamo Makhachkala
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2025
DMK
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 - 0
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
OLY
48%
25%
27%
67 62 5 0
27 Jul. 2025
GAZ
FC Orenburg
1 - 1
Dynamo Makhachkala
DMK
51%
26%
23%
67 67 0 0
19 Jul. 2025
SPA
Spartak Moskva
1 - 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
DMK
82%
13%
5%
67 83 16 0
09 Jul. 2025
FCR
FK Rostov
2 - 1
Dynamo Makhachkala
DMK
67%
20%
13%
67 77 10 0
03 Jul. 2025
ZEN
Zenit
2 - 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
DMK
81%
13%
6%
67 85 18 0

Matches

Akron Tolyatti
Akron Tolyatti
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2025
AKT
Akron Tolyatti
2 - 1
Baltika
BAL
45%
24%
31%
70 72 2 0
26 Jul. 2025
SOC
Sochi
0 - 4
Akron Tolyatti
AKT
42%
26%
32%
69 66 3 +1
19 Jul. 2025
AKT
Akron Tolyatti
1 - 1
Krylia Sovetov
KRS
48%
24%
28%
69 68 1 0
07 Jul. 2025
AKT
Akron Tolyatti
0 - 2
Arsenal Tula
ARS
71%
17%
12%
70 58 12 -1
30 Jun. 2025
AKT
Akron Tolyatti
0 - 0
Spartak Kostroma
SPA
85%
11%
5%
70 47 23 0