Eerste Divisie Round 4

Dordrecht vs NAC Breda analysis

Dordrecht NAC Breda
54 ELO 71
4.3% Tilt 16.4%
629º General ELO ranking 620º
21º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
17.9%
Dordrecht
22.5%
Draw
59.7%
NAC Breda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
Dordrecht
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.6%
Win probability
NAC Breda
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dordrecht
+6%
-8%
NAC Breda

ELO progression

Dordrecht
NAC Breda
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dordrecht
Dordrecht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2016
FCD
Dordrecht
0 - 1
Cambuur
BVO
28%
25%
48%
56 63 7 0
15 Aug. 2016
JUT
Jong Utrecht
1 - 1
Dordrecht
FCD
40%
24%
36%
56 54 2 0
05 Aug. 2016
FCD
Dordrecht
1 - 1
TOP Oss
FCO
55%
22%
23%
56 51 5 0
30 Jul. 2016
FCD
Dordrecht
0 - 1
FC Volendam
VOL
26%
21%
53%
56 61 5 0
29 Apr. 2016
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
2 - 3
Dordrecht
FCD
75%
16%
9%
54 72 18 +2

Matches

NAC Breda
NAC Breda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2016
NAC
NAC Breda
1 - 2
MVV Maastricht
MVV
66%
20%
14%
71 61 10 0
12 Aug. 2016
ACH
Achilles 29
1 - 2
NAC Breda
NAC
17%
22%
60%
71 53 18 0
05 Aug. 2016
NAC
NAC Breda
4 - 1
Jong Utrecht
JUT
74%
18%
9%
71 54 17 0
30 Jul. 2016
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
2 - 2
NAC Breda
NAC
48%
23%
30%
71 71 0 0
13 Jul. 2016
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 0
KV Mechelen
KVM
38%
24%
39%
71 74 3 0