Den Bosch vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
BOS
0 - 2
MVV
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
EIN
3 - 2
BOS
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BOS
0 - 2
ACH
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
UTR
4 - 1
BOS
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
BOS
2 - 1
PSV
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 1
ALM
54%
23%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 1
JON
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 1
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 3
EXC
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
TEL
47%
25%
29%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |