Den Bosch vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
EIN
2 - 1
BOS
31%
24%
45%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2006 |
GRA
1 - 0
BOS
40%
24%
36%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
BOS
3 - 1
BVV
61%
21%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2006 |
BOS
1 - 0
VOL
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
FCD
2 - 2
BOS
28%
25%
48%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
BVV
2 - 1
EXC
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 1
FCD
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2006 |
MVV
0 - 0
EXC
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
VOL
0 - 0
EXC
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
EXC
4 - 1
GRA
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |