Den Bosch vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1999 |
GRO
1 - 2
BOS
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
VOL
1 - 4
BOS
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
BOS
2 - 1
FCO
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
FCE
0 - 1
BOS
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
BOS
1 - 2
HER
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
EXC
2 - 3
BVV
58%
22%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
HFC
1 - 1
EXC
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
EXC
1 - 1
RBC
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
ADO
4 - 0
EXC
55%
23%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1999 |
VOL
2 - 3
EXC
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |