De Bilt vs SV Argon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
42.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
11º
10º
36
1º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Bilt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCD
2 - 5
ROD
23%
20%
57%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VVM
0 - 4
FCD
33%
23%
45%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCD
1 - 0
OLY
31%
21%
48%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NSC
0 - 1
FCD
72%
15%
12%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
WOU
1 - 0
FCD
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SV Argon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ARG
4 - 2
ZUI
17%
19%
64%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ROD
3 - 2
ARG
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ARG
0 - 1
NUN
33%
23%
43%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VVM
1 - 4
ARG
37%
22%
41%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FSP
5 - 3
ARG
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |