Crotone vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TER
0 - 0
CRO
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CRO
4 - 2
FOL
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
POT
2 - 0
CRO
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 1
JUS
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 2
CRO
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TAR
2 - 0
PRG
32%
29%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 0
TAR
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
TAR
1 - 0
TER
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
PES
2 - 0
TAR
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
TAR
1 - 0
ARZ
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |