Crotone vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
TER
2 - 3
CRO
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 2
VIR
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
CRO
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 0
REG
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
CRO
34%
27%
40%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
CES
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TER
5 - 0
NOV
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
NOV
21%
26%
54%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 3
VIR
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SPE
0 - 0
NOV
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |