Serie A Round 8

Crotone vs Lazio analysis

Crotone Lazio
73 ELO 86
1.3% Tilt 2%
1338º General ELO ranking 17º
54º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
17.9%
Crotone
23.4%
Draw
58.7%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
Crotone
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.7%
Win probability
Lazio
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Crotone
-1%
-6%
Lazio

ELO progression

Crotone
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crotone
Crotone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2020
TOR
Torino
0 - 0
Crotone
CRO
70%
18%
13%
73 81 8 0
31 Oct. 2020
CRO
Crotone
1 - 2
Atalanta
ATL
13%
19%
69%
73 87 14 0
28 Oct. 2020
CRO
Crotone
1 - 1
SPAL
SPA
55%
23%
22%
73 69 4 0
25 Oct. 2020
CAG
Cagliari
4 - 2
Crotone
CRO
54%
24%
23%
73 75 2 0
17 Oct. 2020
CRO
Crotone
1 - 1
Juventus
JUV
11%
20%
70%
73 91 18 0

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2020
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 1
Juventus
JUV
26%
24%
50%
86 91 5 0
04 Nov. 2020
ZEN
Zenit
1 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
54%
22%
24%
86 85 1 0
01 Nov. 2020
TOR
Torino
3 - 4
Lazio
LAZ
39%
24%
37%
85 80 5 +1
28 Oct. 2020
BRU
Club Brugge
1 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
48%
24%
27%
85 85 0 0
24 Oct. 2020
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 1
Bologna
BOL
77%
15%
8%
85 75 10 0