Crotone vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
ROM
4 - 0
CRO
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 1
PAL
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
EMP
2 - 1
CRO
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 3
GEN
34%
26%
39%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BOL
1 - 0
CRO
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
PAL
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAG
3 - 0
ATL
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
TOR
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 1
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 4
LAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |