Copenhague II vs Roskilde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Copenhague II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
FCK
3 - 1
BRO
41%
25%
33%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
STE
0 - 4
FCK
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
NOR
2 - 3
FCK
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
BGA
1 - 1
FCK
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
FCK
4 - 1
LFA
35%
24%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ROS
1 - 0
NOR
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
BGA
1 - 1
ROS
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
LFA
2 - 0
ROS
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ROS
1 - 0
GRE
56%
23%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
STE
1 - 2
ROS
26%
23%
51%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |