Catanzaro vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
VER
3 - 0
FCC
79%
14%
7%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
COM
2 - 2
FCC
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 1
USV
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
FCC
0 - 1
ABN
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
ABN
1 - 1
FCC
27%
30%
43%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
FRA
2 - 0
TAR
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 3
PAL
15%
25%
61%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 0
VIT
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
BIS
1 - 0
FRA
22%
26%
52%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 0
CAV
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |