Catanzaro vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
38.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 1
FCC
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 1
FON
32%
28%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
FCC
63%
22%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 0
USV
51%
27%
23%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 0
FCC
62%
21%
16%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 0
PAG
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FRA
3 - 1
SIR
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
FON
1 - 1
FRA
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 0
REG
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
JUS
1 - 0
FRA
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |