Serie B Round 20

Catanzaro vs Palermo FC analysis

Catanzaro Palermo FC
65 ELO 63
-21.3% Tilt -7.1%
277º General ELO ranking 297º
27º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
54.6%
Catanzaro
25.9%
Draw
19.5%
Palermo FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
Catanzaro
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
19.5%
Win probability
Palermo FC
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Catanzaro
+1%
+2%
Palermo FC

ELO progression

Catanzaro
Palermo FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Catanzaro
Catanzaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 1967
FCC
Catanzaro
1 - 1
Modena
MOD
48%
28%
25%
65 67 2 0
15 Jan. 1967
PAD
Padova
1 - 1
Catanzaro
FCC
57%
24%
19%
65 69 4 0
08 Jan. 1967
FCC
Catanzaro
1 - 0
Pisa SC
PIS
55%
26%
19%
64 64 0 +1
31 Dec. 1966
REG
Reggiana
2 - 1
Catanzaro
FCC
49%
27%
25%
65 64 1 -1
24 Dec. 1966
SAM
Sampdoria
3 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
57%
25%
18%
65 76 11 0

Matches

Palermo FC
Palermo FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 1967
POT
Potenza SC
0 - 1
Palermo FC
PAL
62%
23%
16%
63 67 4 0
15 Jan. 1967
PAL
Palermo FC
2 - 1
ACR Messina
MES
41%
30%
29%
62 66 4 +1
08 Jan. 1967
NOV
Novara
1 - 0
Palermo FC
PAL
49%
28%
24%
63 61 2 -1
31 Dec. 1966
GEN
Genoa
1 - 1
Palermo FC
PAL
65%
21%
13%
62 71 9 +1
24 Dec. 1966
PAL
Palermo FC
2 - 0
Reggiana
REG
45%
30%
25%
61 63 2 +1