Serie A Round 14

Catanzaro vs Cagliari analysis

Catanzaro Cagliari
73 ELO 73
-15.9% Tilt -19.7%
270º General ELO ranking 93º
27º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
50.5%
Catanzaro
26.8%
Draw
22.7%
Cagliari

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
Catanzaro
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
22.8%
Win probability
Cagliari
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Catanzaro
-5%
+2%
Cagliari

ELO progression

Catanzaro
Cagliari
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Catanzaro
Catanzaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jan. 1981
BOL
Bologna
0 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
64%
23%
13%
73 79 6 0
28 Dec. 1980
FCC
Catanzaro
1 - 3
Pistoiese
PIS
60%
25%
15%
74 67 7 -1
21 Dec. 1980
AVE
Avellino
1 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
53%
26%
20%
74 73 1 0
14 Dec. 1980
FCC
Catanzaro
2 - 0
Ascoli
ASC
40%
29%
31%
74 78 4 0
30 Nov. 1980
FCC
Catanzaro
0 - 0
Juventus
JUV
25%
29%
46%
73 87 14 +1

Matches

Cagliari
Cagliari
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jan. 1981
CAG
Cagliari
1 - 1
Udinese
UDI
64%
22%
14%
74 69 5 0
28 Dec. 1980
COM
Como
3 - 1
Cagliari
CAG
37%
31%
33%
74 66 8 0
21 Dec. 1980
CAG
Cagliari
1 - 2
Brescia
BRE
69%
21%
11%
75 66 9 -1
14 Dec. 1980
CAG
Cagliari
0 - 0
Bologna
BOL
56%
26%
17%
75 78 3 0
30 Nov. 1980
PRG
Perugia
1 - 1
Cagliari
CAG
53%
28%
20%
75 80 5 0