Catanzaro vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
68.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
ARZ
1 - 0
FCC
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 0
CRO
23%
27%
50%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
MOD
1 - 0
FCC
68%
22%
10%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 2
AVE
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
FCC
0 - 1
TOR
21%
28%
52%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
BRE
2 - 2
BAR
68%
21%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
PES
0 - 3
BRE
18%
24%
58%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
BRE
1 - 0
TRI
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
BRE
0 - 2
RIM
68%
20%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
ABN
2 - 2
BRE
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |