Catanzaro vs Akragas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
JUS
1 - 1
FCC
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 3
USF
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
FCC
51%
26%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ASM
2 - 0
FCC
31%
28%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
FCC
3 - 0
ISC
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Akragas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AKR
1 - 0
NUO
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
AKR
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
AKR
1 - 4
MAT
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
AKR
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
AKR
1 - 3
ASM
71%
18%
12%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |