Catanzaro vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
43.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
MOD
2 - 0
FCC
68%
22%
10%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 3
PIA
23%
28%
49%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
SAL
0 - 0
FCC
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
FCC
0 - 1
ABN
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CRO
3 - 0
FCC
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CES
1 - 0
TOR
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
VIC
4 - 1
CES
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CES
0 - 1
PRG
27%
27%
47%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
CES
1 - 1
VNZ
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
VER
2 - 1
CES
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |