FC Castrense vs Almancilense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
42.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FCC
0 - 5
FAM
12%
19%
69%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 2
FCB
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 2
FCC
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FCC
2 - 0
VAS
51%
23%
27%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 0
COV
15%
21%
64%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | +5 |
Matches
Almancilense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 2
OLH
13%
18%
69%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ALM
4 - 3
LOU
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
COV
1 - 2
ALM
68%
20%
13%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 1
MOU
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
JUV
80%
12%
8%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |