Castiglione vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 1
FCC
17%
23%
60%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 2
PRO
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 0
BV5
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ACG
1 - 2
FCC
25%
25%
50%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FCC
3 - 0
VNZ
41%
24%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FAN
1 - 5
FOR
16%
22%
63%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ACG
1 - 0
FAN
51%
24%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
FAN
1 - 0
VIN
40%
27%
34%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 2
FAN
42%
25%
33%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FAN
1 - 3
MAN
19%
23%
58%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |