FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1971 |
ROS
1 - 0
CZJ
28%
28%
44%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
CZJ
4 - 0
FCU
79%
14%
6%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1971 |
BFC
2 - 1
CZJ
24%
28%
48%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1971 |
CZJ
1 - 0
LOK
78%
15%
8%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1971 |
MAG
1 - 0
CZJ
31%
26%
43%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1971 |
BWA
0 - 1
SGD
40%
29%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1971 |
ZWI
0 - 0
BWA
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1971 |
BWA
4 - 1
VOW
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1971 |
CHL
1 - 0
BWA
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1971 |
BWA
0 - 2
HAL
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |