Bressoux vs Verlaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
76.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verlaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VER
4 - 0
RIC
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
HBN
1 - 2
VER
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
VER
1 - 0
AIS
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
VER
1 - 1
MOR
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
RFC
2 - 0
VER
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |