Besa Biel/Bienne vs Ueberstorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
15º
2º
36
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besa Biel/Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 3
BBB
14%
18%
68%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BBB
2 - 0
TAV
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 0
BBB
18%
19%
63%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BBB
1 - 2
CON
70%
16%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 4
BBB
27%
21%
52%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ueberstorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
FCU
2 - 5
FCP
17%
18%
65%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
OLD
5 - 3
FCU
78%
13%
9%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FCU
3 - 2
DOR
31%
21%
47%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GUM
1 - 1
FCU
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
FCU
3 - 2
FCA
32%
22%
46%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |