FC Borgo vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
11º
1º
42
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Borgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
FBB
22%
23%
54%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FBB
1 - 0
OIS
86%
10%
4%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 1
FBB
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FBB
3 - 4
RAC
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AFV
2 - 3
FBB
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 0
SAI
41%
23%
37%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
AGC
1 - 2
AJA
43%
24%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 1
CAE
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MAI
0 - 1
AJA
21%
21%
57%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 1
STG
15%
24%
62%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |