Bundesliga Round 19

FC Augsburg vs Werder Bremen analysis

FC Augsburg Werder Bremen
82 ELO 81
-7% Tilt -8%
96º General ELO ranking 68º
15º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
35.8%
FC Augsburg
24.7%
Draw
39.6%
Werder Bremen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
FC Augsburg
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.6%
Win probability
Werder Bremen
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Augsburg
+3%
+5%
Werder Bremen

ELO progression

FC Augsburg
Werder Bremen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2014
BVB
B. Dortmund
2 - 2
FC Augsburg
AUG
80%
14%
6%
81 93 12 0
20 Dec. 2013
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 1
FC Augsburg
AUG
60%
22%
18%
82 85 3 -1
14 Dec. 2013
AUG
FC Augsburg
4 - 1
Eintracht Braunschweig
EBT
54%
25%
20%
81 75 6 +1
07 Dec. 2013
HSV
Hamburger SV
0 - 1
FC Augsburg
AUG
53%
25%
22%
80 84 4 +1
04 Dec. 2013
AUG
FC Augsburg
0 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
4%
12%
84%
80 97 17 0

Matches

Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jan. 2014
BRE
Werder Bremen
0 - 0
Eintracht Braunschweig
EBT
63%
21%
16%
81 75 6 0
12 Jan. 2014
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
1 - 0
Werder Bremen
BRE
20%
20%
60%
82 69 13 -1
21 Dec. 2013
BRE
Werder Bremen
1 - 0
B. Leverkusen
LEV
19%
22%
59%
82 91 9 0
13 Dec. 2013
HER
Hertha BSC
3 - 2
Werder Bremen
BRE
42%
24%
34%
81 83 2 +1
07 Dec. 2013
BRE
Werder Bremen
0 - 7
Bayern München
BYM
6%
15%
79%
81 97 16 0