FC Augsburg vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
HAN
1 - 2
AUG
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
AUG
0 - 0
RBL
22%
23%
55%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BVB
4 - 3
AUG
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
AUG
4 - 1
SCF
33%
25%
43%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
BYM
1 - 1
AUG
88%
9%
3%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
M05
1 - 2
BYM
5%
12%
83%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MON
4 - 0
M05
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
EDD
0 - 4
M05
1%
4%
95%
|
79 | 26 | 53 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
M05
0 - 0
HER
29%
25%
45%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
S04
1 - 0
M05
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |