FC Augsburg vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
74.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
AUG
1 - 2
SCF
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MON
3 - 2
AUG
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
AUG
2 - 0
FCU
27%
25%
49%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
AUG
3 - 3
SSV
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
LEV
5 - 1
AUG
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
GLA
2 - 2
BVB
15%
19%
66%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
BVB
6 - 0
MON
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
BVB
2 - 4
GLA
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FCU
0 - 3
BVB
13%
18%
69%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BVB
2 - 5
LEV
51%
23%
26%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |