Bundesliga Round 11

FC Augsburg vs B. Dortmund analysis

FC Augsburg B. Dortmund
78 ELO 91
-8% Tilt -6.2%
96º General ELO ranking 14º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
11.6%
FC Augsburg
20.2%
Draw
68.2%
B. Dortmund

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
FC Augsburg
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
68.2%
Win probability
B. Dortmund
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Augsburg
+6%
+5%
B. Dortmund

ELO progression

FC Augsburg
B. Dortmund
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2012
HAN
Hannover 96
2 - 0
FC Augsburg
AUG
68%
19%
13%
78 85 7 0
30 Oct. 2012
PRE
Preußen Münster
0 - 1
FC Augsburg
AUG
28%
26%
46%
78 66 12 0
26 Oct. 2012
AUG
FC Augsburg
0 - 2
Hamburger SV
HSV
33%
26%
42%
78 82 4 0
21 Oct. 2012
FCN
Nürnberg
0 - 0
FC Augsburg
AUG
48%
27%
26%
78 80 2 0
05 Oct. 2012
AUG
FC Augsburg
3 - 1
Werder Bremen
BRE
24%
23%
54%
78 84 6 0

Matches

B. Dortmund
B. Dortmund
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2012
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 2
B. Dortmund
BVB
86%
9%
4%
90 97 7 0
03 Nov. 2012
BVB
B. Dortmund
0 - 0
Stuttgart
STU
60%
22%
19%
91 86 5 -1
30 Oct. 2012
VFR
VfR Aalen
1 - 4
B. Dortmund
BVB
10%
18%
72%
91 66 25 0
27 Oct. 2012
SCF
SC Freiburg
0 - 2
B. Dortmund
BVB
16%
22%
62%
90 80 10 +1
24 Oct. 2012
BVB
B. Dortmund
2 - 1
Real Madrid
RMA
13%
19%
67%
90 97 7 0