FC Augsburg vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
77.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
SGF
1 - 1
AUG
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
AUG
0 - 2
BYM
7%
16%
78%
|
76 | 94 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
AUG
1 - 1
SCF
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
STU
2 - 1
AUG
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AUG
1 - 1
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
BYM
1 - 1
MON
80%
14%
7%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
AUG
0 - 2
BYM
7%
16%
78%
|
94 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
BYM
4 - 1
BAT
89%
8%
2%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BYM
1 - 1
BVB
59%
21%
20%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
SCF
0 - 2
BYM
9%
17%
74%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |