FC Alverca II vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
55.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
10º
4º
17
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SER
0 - 0
FCA
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 0
FCA
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 1
USA
16%
23%
61%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | +8 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
FCA
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
7 - 0
PEN
13%
18%
70%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | +6 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UFT
0 - 1
MOR
57%
21%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 0
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
UFT
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 3
LUS
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
UFT
14%
18%
68%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |