Alliance Aischdall vs Sporting Mertzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance Aischdall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
JEU
0 - 1
FCA
25%
22%
53%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FCA
3 - 0
PRE
67%
18%
16%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MLI
1 - 2
FCA
54%
21%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
FCA
3 - 0
KEH
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LOR
3 - 1
FCA
29%
21%
50%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MER
2 - 0
RES
70%
18%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ORA
1 - 1
MER
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
JEU
3 - 2
MER
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
PRE
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MLI
1 - 1
MER
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |