Alem Villa Nueva vs Deportivo Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alem Villa Nueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
CAA
1 - 0
AVN
38%
23%
40%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDU
0 - 1
CAA
53%
21%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CDU
0 - 2
SAR
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
CDU
5 - 1
SAL
66%
18%
17%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CAT
0 - 0
CDU
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SAR
0 - 0
CDU
54%
22%
23%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |